We said: Columbus Crew 3-1 CF Montreal
As sound as they looked on the back end in their previous match, one solid outing is not enough to prove that Montreal have solved its defensive issues.
They have been inferior in that department away from home, allowing three or more goals in five road matches in all competitions this year.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 52.25%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for CF Montreal had a probability of 22.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.78%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.83%), while for a CF Montreal win it was 0-1 (7.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.