Major League Soccer

Nov 25, 2023 at 10.30pm UK

Exploria Stadium

Orlando City
0 - 2
Columbus Crew

Schlegel (16'), Cartagena (55'), Araujo (71'), Jansson (94'), Dan Thorhallsson (104')
Schlegel (77')

FT
(aet)

Ramirez (93'), Camilo Hernandez (118')
Camacho (27'), Amundsen (45+1'), Ramirez (117'), Camilo Hernandez (119')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Orlando City and Columbus Crew, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Orlando City

All competitions

Last Game: Nashville 0-1 Orlando City
Wednesday, November 8 at 2am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Columbus Crew

All competitions

Last Game: Columbus Crew 4-2 Atlanta
Monday, November 13 at 12am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

We say: Orlando City 2-2 Columbus Crew (Orlando City advance on penalties)

Orlando may not have the potency that some attacking players in Columbus possess, but as a group, they are more than capable of scoring goals, which can be equally valuable. The X-factor in this one could come down to the goalkeepers, and in a shootout, we have more faith in Gallese, who has been an intimidating presence to face from the penalty spot.

How to watch

You can watch Orlando City vs. Columbus Crew and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 50.61%. A win for Columbus Crew had a probability of 26.85% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.74%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Columbus Crew win was 1-2 (6.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.16%).

Result
Orlando City	Draw	Columbus Crew
50.61% ( 0.67)	22.54% ( -0.24)	26.85% ( -0.43)

Both teams to score 61.86% (

0.48)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.73% (

0.8)

38.27% (

-0.8)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.45% (

0.85)

60.55% (

-0.84)

Orlando City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.65% (

0.53)

15.35% (

-0.53)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.89% (

0.98)

44.11% (

-0.98)

Columbus Crew Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.08% (

0.11)

26.92% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.75% (

0.15)

62.24% (

-0.15)

Score Analysis

Orlando City 50.61%

Columbus Crew 26.85%

Draw 22.54%

Orlando City	Draw	Columbus Crew
2-1 @ 9.52% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 7.74% ( -0.15) 2-0 @ 7.26% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.95% ( 0.12) 3-0 @ 4.53% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 3.9% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 2.79% ( 0.1) 4-0 @ 2.12% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 1.83% ( 0.07) 5-1 @ 1.05% ( 0.06) Other @ 3.92% Total : 50.61%	1-1 @ 10.16% ( -0.17) 2-2 @ 6.25% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 4.13% ( -0.16) 3-3 @ 1.71% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.29% Total : 22.54%	1-2 @ 6.67% ( -0.09) 0-1 @ 5.42% ( -0.19) 0-2 @ 3.56% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 2.92% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.73% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.03% Total : 26.85%