Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 53.84%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 21.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.1%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.63%), while for a Houston Dynamo win it was 0-1 (7.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.