Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a DC United win with a probability of 48.73%. A win for New England Revolution had a probability of 27.06% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a DC United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.51%) and 2-0 (8.05%). The likeliest New England Revolution win was 0-1 (6.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that New England Revolution would win this match.