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Major League Soccer
DC United
Major League Soccer
Mar 12, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Audi Field
Orlando City

DC United
1 - 1
Orlando City

Durkin (80')
Rodrigo Asad (65'), Ruan (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)
McGuire (53')
Smith (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between DC United and Orlando City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

DC United

All competitions
Last Game: Columbus Crew 2-0 DC United
Sunday, March 5 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Orlando City

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last Game: Orlando City 0-0 Cincinnati
Sunday, March 5 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: DC United 1-1 Orlando City

 DC United had one of the worst home records in the division last season, and given the defensive stability that Orlando have shown in their opening two MLS games, we think that the spoils will be shared in an evenly-matched contest this weekend.

How to watch

You can watch DC United vs. Orlando City and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a DC United win with a probability of 44.46%. A win for Orlando City had a probability of 29.33% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a DC United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (8.02%). The likeliest Orlando City win was 0-1 (8.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
DC UnitedDrawOrlando City
44.46% (-0.798 -0.8) 26.21% (0.188 0.19) 29.33% (0.614 0.61)
Both teams to score 51.42% (-0.211 -0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.17% (-0.444 -0.44)52.83% (0.448 0.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.55% (-0.38 -0.38)74.45% (0.383 0.38)
DC United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.35% (-0.572 -0.57)23.65% (0.576 0.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.24% (-0.832 -0.83)57.76% (0.835 0.84)
Orlando City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.35% (0.229 0.23)32.65% (-0.225 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.81% (0.254 0.25)69.19% (-0.25 -0.25)
Score Analysis
    DC United 44.46%
    Orlando City 29.33%
    Draw 26.21%
DC UnitedDrawOrlando City
1-0 @ 11.13% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.98% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-0 @ 8.02% (-0.131 -0.13)
3-1 @ 4.32% (-0.118 -0.12)
3-0 @ 3.86% (-0.13 -0.13)
3-2 @ 2.42% (-0.051 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.56% (-0.069 -0.07)
4-0 @ 1.39% (-0.071 -0.07)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 44.46%
1-1 @ 12.46% (0.090000000000002 0.09)
0-0 @ 7.72% (0.136 0.14)
2-2 @ 5.03% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-3 @ 0.9% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.21%
0-1 @ 8.65% (0.204 0.2)
1-2 @ 6.98% (0.091 0.09)
0-2 @ 4.84% (0.144 0.14)
1-3 @ 2.6% (0.05 0.05)
2-3 @ 1.88% (0.0039999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 1.81% (0.065 0.07)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 29.33%

How you voted: DC United vs Orlando City

DC United
41.7%
Draw
33.3%
Orlando City
25.0%
12
Head to Head
Jul 31, 2022 10pm
DC United
2-1
Orlando City
Durkin (90+1'), Fountas (90+5')
Djeffal (8')
Urso (9')
Moutinho (69'), Michel (88')
Jul 5, 2022 12am
Orlando City
3-5
DC United
Torres (57'), Kara (66'), Pato (80' pen.)
Schlegel (50')
Fountas (5', 8', 51'), Smith (74'), Robertha (90+6')
Robertha (90')
Oct 3, 2021 12.30am
Orlando City
2-1
DC United
Jansson (17'), Dike (90+7')
Gressel (6')
Alfaro (20'), Canouse (67'), Hamid (90+5')
May 17, 2021 1am
DC United
0-1
Orlando City

Hines-Ike (42'), Brillant (90+7')
Pereyra (7')
Moutinho (61'), Pereyra (69'), Mueller (90+3'), Nani (90+5')
Aug 16, 2020 12.30am
Orlando City
P-P
DC United
rhs 2.0
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