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Major League Soccer
Mar 18, 2023 at 11.30pm UK
Yankee Stadium
DC United

NY City
3 - 2
DC United

Magno (17'), Rodriguez (37'), Andrade (88')
Rodriguez (53'), Pellegrini (73')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Benteke (46'), Birnbaum (90')
Canouse (8'), Palsson (49'), Jeahze (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between New York City FC and DC United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: NY City 1-0 Inter Miami
Sunday, March 12 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: DC United 1-1 Orlando City
Sunday, March 12 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: New York City FC 2-1 DC United

Having tasted victory for the first time in 2023 last weekend, we expect New York City FC to secure back-to-back wins when DC United visit Yankee Stadium, while Rooney's side look set to concede more than one goal for the third time in four outings.

How to watch

You can watch New York City FC vs. DC United and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 70.81%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for DC United had a probability of 11.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.03%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.27%), while for a DC United win it was 0-1 (3.57%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that New York City FC would win this match.

Result
New York City FCDrawDC United
70.81% (0.00099999999999056 0) 17.49% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 11.69%
Both teams to score 50.58% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.7% (0.0030000000000001 0)39.3% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.36% (0.0020000000000024 0)61.64% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
New York City FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.11% (0.0010000000000048 0)9.89% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.24% (0.0030000000000001 0)32.76% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
DC United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.13%43.87% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.98% (0.0010000000000012 0)80.02% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Score Analysis
    New York City FC 70.81%
    DC United 11.69%
    Draw 17.49%
New York City FCDrawDC United
2-0 @ 11.61%
1-0 @ 10.03%
2-1 @ 9.57%
3-0 @ 8.96% (0.0010000000000012 0)
3-1 @ 7.38%
4-0 @ 5.18%
4-1 @ 4.27%
3-2 @ 3.04%
5-0 @ 2.4%
5-1 @ 1.98% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.76%
6-0 @ 0.93%
Other @ 3.71%
Total : 70.81%
1-1 @ 8.27% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-0 @ 4.34% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 3.94%
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 17.49%
0-1 @ 3.57%
1-2 @ 3.41%
0-2 @ 1.47%
2-3 @ 1.08%
1-3 @ 0.94%
Other @ 1.22%
Total : 11.69%

How you voted: NY City vs DC United

New York City FC
62.5%
Draw
12.5%
DC United
25.0%
8
Head to Head
Sep 1, 2022 1am
May 19, 2022 12.30am
DC United
0-2
NY City

Romo (19')
Callens (6'), Castellanos (45+5' pen.)
Rodriguez (36'), Castellanos (64'), Zelalem (90+4')
Oct 24, 2021 12.30am
NY City
6-0
DC United
Andrade (1'), Castellanos (7', 11'), Moralez (44'), Callens (52'), Medina (75')
Sands (33')

Canouse (3'), Birnbaum (54')
Jun 27, 2021 11pm
NY City
2-1
DC United
Parks (84'), Andrade (90+5')
Robertha (9')
Mora (52'), Robertha (70'), Najar (78')
Apr 18, 2021 1am
rhs 2.0
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