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Major League Soccer
Mar 9, 2025 at 12.30am UK
Audi Field
Sporting Kansas

DC United
2 - 1
Kansas

Benteke (60' pen.), Kijima (68')
Enow (31'), Peglow (38'), Benteke (76'), Herrera (90+11'), Kim (90'), MacNaughton (90+8')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Thommy (53')
Rosero (20'), Fernandez (40'), Miller (52'), Pulskamp (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between DC United and Sporting Kansas City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chicago Fire 2-2 DC United
Sunday, March 2 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Kansas 1-2 Earthquakes
Sunday, March 2 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: DC United 1-0 Sporting Kansas City

The last three installments of this fixture has often favoured the teams playing at home, with DC United winning one in that period, an outcome we believe will be the same after the final whistle on Sunday. The away side's results on the road have been abysmal, and while the hosts have also struggled for wins at home, their potency in attack could prove to be the difference here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a DC United win with a probability of 53.62%. A win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 23.7% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a DC United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.07%) and 2-0 (8.42%). The likeliest Sporting Kansas City win was 1-2 (6.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for DC United in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for DC United.

Result
DC UnitedDrawSporting Kansas City
53.62% (-0.323 -0.32) 22.68% (0.173 0.17) 23.7% (0.153 0.15)
Both teams to score 57.98% (-0.406 -0.41)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.1% (-0.624 -0.62)41.9% (0.627 0.63)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.7% (-0.629 -0.63)64.31% (0.633 0.63)
DC United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.38% (-0.328 -0.33)15.62% (0.331 0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.39% (-0.613 -0.61)44.62% (0.617 0.62)
Sporting Kansas City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.71% (-0.211 -0.21)31.29% (0.214 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.35% (-0.248 -0.25)67.65% (0.252 0.25)
Score Analysis
    DC United 53.62%
    Sporting Kansas City 23.7%
    Draw 22.68%
DC UnitedDrawSporting Kansas City
2-1 @ 9.79% (-0.0059999999999985 -0.01)
1-0 @ 9.07% (0.152 0.15)
2-0 @ 8.42% (0.045 0.04)
3-1 @ 6.06% (-0.073 -0.07)
3-0 @ 5.21% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.52% (-0.064 -0.06)
4-1 @ 2.81% (-0.067 -0.07)
4-0 @ 2.42% (-0.043 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.63% (-0.049 -0.05)
5-1 @ 1.04% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 3.63%
Total : 53.62%
1-1 @ 10.54% (0.12 0.12)
2-2 @ 5.69% (-0.037 -0.04)
0-0 @ 4.89% (0.136 0.14)
3-3 @ 1.36% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 22.68%
1-2 @ 6.12% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-1 @ 5.68% (0.126 0.13)
0-2 @ 3.3% (0.054 0.05)
1-3 @ 2.37% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 2.2% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.28% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 23.7%

How you voted: DC United vs Kansas

DC United
40.0%
Draw
50.0%
Sporting Kansas City
10.0%
10
Head to Head
Sep 14, 2022 1.30am
May 13, 2019 12am
Gameweek 14
DC United
1-0
Kansas
Arriola (78')
Brilliant (45')

Salloi (11')
Apr 1, 2018 1.30am
Mar 5, 2017 12am
DC United
0-0
Kansas
Franklin (54'), Vincent (64')
Sinovic (37'), Espinoza (72')
May 28, 2016 12am
Kansas
0-1
DC United

Dwyer (71'), Nagamura (78')
Kamara (86')
Sarvas (7'), Jeffrey (42'), Neagle (68')
rhs 2.0
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