We said: DC United 1-0 Sporting Kansas City
The last three installments of this fixture has often favoured the teams playing at home, with DC United winning one in that period, an outcome we believe will be the same after the final whistle on Sunday.
The away side's results on the road have been abysmal, and while the hosts have also struggled for wins at home, their potency in attack could prove to be the difference here.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a DC United win with a probability of 53.62%. A win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 23.7% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a DC United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.07%) and 2-0 (8.42%). The likeliest Sporting Kansas City win was 1-2 (6.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for DC United in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for DC United.