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Sporting Kansas
Major League Soccer
Mar 2, 2025 at 1.30am UK
Children's Mercy Park
San Jose Earthquakes

Kansas
1 - 2
Earthquakes

Joveljic (27' pen.)
Leibold (5'), Bartlett (16'), Davis (45'), Radoja (67'), Radoja (67')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Arango (3'), Martinez (19')
Lopez (45+5')
Lopez (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Sporting Kansas City and San Jose Earthquakes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Inter Miami 3-1 Kansas
Wednesday, February 26 at 1am in CONCACAF Champions League
Last Game: Earthquakes 4-0 Salt Lake
Sunday, February 23 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Sporting Kansas City 1-2 San Jose Earthquakes

This fixture has delivered goals on several occasions in the past, and we expect this weekend's clash to be no different. That said, the San Jose Earthquakes will be the more confident of the two teams heading into this one, so we can see them just about doing enough to get the job done. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 54.95%. A win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 23.7% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.54%) and 1-0 (7.4%). The likeliest San Jose Earthquakes win was 1-2 (6.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for San Jose Earthquakes in this match.

Result
Sporting Kansas CityDrawSan Jose Earthquakes
54.95% (-0.128 -0.13) 21.35% (0.026 0.03) 23.7% (0.106 0.11)
Both teams to score 62.75% (0.041999999999994 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.37% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)35.63% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.31% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)57.69% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Sporting Kansas City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.96% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)13.04% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.4% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)39.6% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
San Jose Earthquakes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.15% (0.081000000000003 0.08)27.85% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.55% (0.104 0.1)63.45% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Sporting Kansas City 54.95%
    San Jose Earthquakes 23.7%
    Draw 21.35%
Sporting Kansas CityDrawSan Jose Earthquakes
2-1 @ 9.63% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.54% (-0.021 -0.02)
1-0 @ 7.4% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.54% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.12% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-2 @ 4.18% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 3.33% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.61% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-2 @ 2.13% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
5-1 @ 1.36% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.06% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-3 @ 0.91% (0.001 0)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 54.95%
1-1 @ 9.46% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.16% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 3.63% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.78% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 21.35%
1-2 @ 6.05% (0.02 0.02)
0-1 @ 4.64% (0.013000000000001 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.97% (0.014 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.62% (0.01 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.58% (0.014 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.26% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.58%
Total : 23.7%

How you voted: Kansas vs Earthquakes

Sporting Kansas City
14.3%
Draw
28.6%
San Jose Earthquakes
57.1%
7
Head to Head
Jul 14, 2024 3.30am
Earthquakes
1-2
Kansas
Shelton (83' og.)
Kikanovic (37'), Skahan (87')
Thommy (48'), Pulido (57')
Leibold (38')
Mar 17, 2024 12.30am
Kansas
2-1
Earthquakes
Rosero (18'), Pulido (29')
Rosero (35'), Salloi (82'), Thommy (90+1')
Costa (11')
Bouda (66'), Espinoza (80')
Oct 26, 2023 2.30am
Kansas
0-0
Earthquakes
(Aggregate 0-0 | Kansas win 4-2 on penalties)
Fontas (59')
Hoppe (55'), Skahan (80'), Judson (87')
Aug 27, 2023 1.30am
Apr 16, 2023 3.30am
rhs 2.0
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