We said: Sporting Kansas City 1-2 San Jose Earthquakes
This fixture has delivered goals on several occasions in the past, and we expect this weekend's clash to be no different.
That said, the San Jose Earthquakes will be the more confident of the two teams heading into this one, so we can see them just about doing enough to get the job done.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 54.95%. A win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 23.7% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.54%) and 1-0 (7.4%). The likeliest San Jose Earthquakes win was 1-2 (6.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for San Jose Earthquakes in this match.