We said: DC United 1-1 New York City FC
Desperation, combined with an in-form striker, can take you a long way, as DC are discovering, and for as much control as New York City have had in their matches this season, they seem a little too comfortable with their current position in the table, which may cost them more points this weekend.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 41.33%. A win for DC United had a probability of 34.95% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.24%) and 0-2 (5.9%). The likeliest DC United win was 2-1 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.