Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 58.43%. A win for Los Angeles Galaxy had a probability of 22.29% and a draw had a probability of 19.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.1%) and 2-0 (6.33%). The likeliest Los Angeles Galaxy win was 1-2 (5.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.62%). The actual scoreline of 6-2 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Los Angeles FC would win this match.