Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 59.01%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Los Angeles Galaxy had a probability of 18.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.33%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.53%), while for a Los Angeles Galaxy win it was 0-1 (5.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Minnesota United would win this match.