We said: Nashville SC 2-0 New York City FC
With so many new faces in the NYCFC lineup, we suspect it will take some time for them to gel together as a unit, particularly on the backline.
Containing the Nashville attack might be a little more challenging this weekend, seeing as Picault is a capable secondary scorer who can compliment Mukhtar, so we expect that quality will overpower the newcomers at New York City.
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Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 40.12%. A win for New York City FC had a probability of 34.28% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest New York City FC win was 0-1 (8.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Nashville SC in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Nashville SC.