Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 58.62%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for New York City FC had a probability of 19.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.02%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.45%), while for a New York City FC win it was 0-1 (5.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.
Result | ||
Philadelphia Union | Draw | New York City FC |
58.62% (![]() | 22.09% (![]() | 19.29% (![]() |
Both teams to score 53.45% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.16% (![]() | 44.83% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.81% (![]() | 67.19% (![]() |
Philadelphia Union Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.03% (![]() | 14.97% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.6% (![]() | 43.4% (![]() |
New York City FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.86% (![]() | 37.14% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.07% (![]() | 73.92% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Philadelphia Union | Draw | New York City FC |
1-0 @ 10.55% (![]() 2-0 @ 10.02% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 9.93% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 6.35% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.29% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.11% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 3.01% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.99% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.48% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.15% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.13% ( ![]() Other @ 2.6% Total : 58.6% | 1-1 @ 10.45% (![]() 0-0 @ 5.56% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.92% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.03% ( ![]() Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.09% | 0-1 @ 5.51% (![]() 1-2 @ 5.18% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.73% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.71% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.62% ( ![]() Other @ 2.54% Total : 19.29% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |