Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 55.72%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for DC United had a probability of 21.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.84%) and 2-0 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.6%), while for a DC United win it was 1-2 (5.72%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that New England Revolution would win this match.
Result | ||
New England Revolution | Draw | DC United |
55.72% (![]() | 22.56% (![]() | 21.71% (![]() |
Both teams to score 55.74% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.35% (![]() | 43.64% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.96% (![]() | 66.03% (![]() |
New England Revolution Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.48% (![]() | 15.52% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.57% (![]() | 44.42% (![]() |
DC United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.97% (![]() | 34.02% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.29% (![]() | 70.7% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
New England Revolution | Draw | DC United |
2-1 @ 9.88% (![]() 1-0 @ 9.84% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 9.16% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.14% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 5.69% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.31% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.86% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.65% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.54% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.07% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 0.99% ( ![]() Other @ 2.6% Total : 55.72% | 1-1 @ 10.6% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.33% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 5.28% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.19% ( ![]() Other @ 0.16% Total : 22.56% | 1-2 @ 5.72% (![]() 0-1 @ 5.69% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.07% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.05% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.91% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.1% ( ![]() Other @ 2.17% Total : 21.71% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |