Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 55.72%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for DC United had a probability of 21.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.84%) and 2-0 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.6%), while for a DC United win it was 1-2 (5.72%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that New England Revolution would win this match.