Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 56.39%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for New England Revolution had a probability of 21.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.9%) and 2-0 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.54%), while for a New England Revolution win it was 0-1 (5.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New York City FC would win this match.
Result | ||
New York City FC | Draw | New England Revolution |
56.39% | 22.42% | 21.19% |
Both teams to score 55.45% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.34% | 43.66% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.95% | 66.05% |
New York City FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.7% | 15.3% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.98% | 44.02% |
New England Revolution Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.47% | 34.53% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.75% | 71.25% |
Score Analysis |
New York City FC | Draw | New England Revolution |
1-0 @ 9.92% 2-1 @ 9.9% 2-0 @ 9.31% 3-1 @ 6.2% 3-0 @ 5.83% 3-2 @ 3.29% 4-1 @ 2.91% 4-0 @ 2.74% 4-2 @ 1.55% 5-1 @ 1.09% 5-0 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.64% Total : 56.39% | 1-1 @ 10.54% 0-0 @ 5.28% 2-2 @ 5.26% 3-3 @ 1.17% Other @ 0.16% Total : 22.41% | 0-1 @ 5.62% 1-2 @ 5.61% 0-2 @ 2.99% 1-3 @ 1.99% 2-3 @ 1.87% 0-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.07% Total : 21.19% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |