Major League Soccer

Major League Soccer | Gameweek 25

Aug 19, 2021 at 12.30am UK

PPL Park

Philadelphia
1 - 0
NY City

Bedoya (67')
Elliott (78')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Medina (25'), Sands (36')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Major League Soccer clash between Philadelphia Union and New York City FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 39.23%. A win for New York City FC had a probability of 34.7% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest New York City FC win was 0-1 (9.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Philadelphia Union in this match.

Result
Philadelphia Union	Draw	New York City FC
39.23%	26.07%	34.7%

Both teams to score 53.82%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.38%

50.62%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.47%

72.53%

Philadelphia Union Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.67%

25.33%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.89%

60.11%

New York City FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.08%

27.92%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.46%

63.54%

Score Analysis

Philadelphia Union 39.23%

New York City FC 34.7%

Draw 26.07%

Philadelphia Union	Draw	New York City FC
1-0 @ 9.71% 2-1 @ 8.51% 2-0 @ 6.67% 3-1 @ 3.89% 3-0 @ 3.05% 3-2 @ 2.48% 4-1 @ 1.34% 4-0 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.53% Total : 39.23%	1-1 @ 12.39% 0-0 @ 7.07% 2-2 @ 5.43% 3-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.07%	0-1 @ 9.02% 1-2 @ 7.9% 0-2 @ 5.76% 1-3 @ 3.36% 0-3 @ 2.45% 2-3 @ 2.31% 1-4 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.83% Total : 34.7%