Major League Soccer
Dec 5, 2021 at 8pm UK
Subaru Park
Philadelphia1 - 2NY City
We said: Philadelphia Union 1-2 New York City FC
Before the news out of Philly about the amount of players missing we would have pegged the Union to win but due to the amount of omissions on their side the scales have tipped back in the favour of New York, even though they are missing the heart and soul of their team in Castellanos. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 42.01%. A win for New York City FC had a probability of 31.41% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest New York City FC win was 0-1 (9.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for New York City FC in this match.
| Result | ||
| Philadelphia Union | Draw | New York City FC |
| 42.01% | 26.59% | 31.41% |
| Both teams to score 51.25% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
