Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 49.12%. A win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 28.45% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.13%) and 2-0 (6.72%). The likeliest Real Salt Lake win was 1-2 (6.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.92%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that San Jose Earthquakes would win this match.
Result | ||
San Jose Earthquakes | Draw | Real Salt Lake |
49.12% | 22.42% | 28.45% |
Both teams to score 63.68% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.52% | 36.47% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.38% | 58.61% |
San Jose Earthquakes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.79% | 15.21% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.15% | 43.84% |
Real Salt Lake Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.1% | 24.9% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.48% | 59.52% |
Score Analysis |
San Jose Earthquakes | Draw | Real Salt Lake |
2-1 @ 9.34% 1-0 @ 7.13% 2-0 @ 6.72% 3-1 @ 5.86% 3-0 @ 4.22% 3-2 @ 4.08% 4-1 @ 2.76% 4-0 @ 1.99% 4-2 @ 1.92% 5-1 @ 1.04% Other @ 4.08% Total : 49.12% | 1-1 @ 9.92% 2-2 @ 6.49% 0-0 @ 3.79% 3-3 @ 1.89% Other @ 0.34% Total : 22.42% | 1-2 @ 6.89% 0-1 @ 5.26% 0-2 @ 3.66% 1-3 @ 3.19% 2-3 @ 3.01% 0-3 @ 1.7% 1-4 @ 1.11% 2-4 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.58% Total : 28.45% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 31 | 19 | 8 | 4 | 69 | 45 | 24 | 65 |
2 | Columbus Crew | 30 | 16 | 9 | 5 | 60 | 33 | 27 | 57 |
3 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 31 | 17 | 5 | 9 | 53 | 41 | 12 | 56 |
4 | Orlando City | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 46 |
5 | New York City FCNY City | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 48 | 44 | 4 | 44 |
6 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 31 | 10 | 14 | 7 | 48 | 44 | 4 | 44 |
7 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 37 | 34 | 3 | 42 |
8 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 58 | 48 | 10 | 37 |
9 | CF MontrealMontreal | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 44 | 61 | -17 | 37 |
10 | Toronto | 32 | 11 | 4 | 17 | 39 | 56 | -17 | 37 |
11 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 34 |
12 | DC United | 31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 46 | 63 | -17 | 34 |
13 | Nashville SCNashville | 31 | 8 | 9 | 14 | 31 | 47 | -16 | 33 |
14 | New England RevolutionNew England | 30 | 9 | 4 | 17 | 33 | 60 | -27 | 31 |
15 | Chicago Fire | 32 | 7 | 9 | 16 | 37 | 55 | -18 | 30 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 31 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 63 | 46 | 17 | 58 |
2 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 31 | 14 | 10 | 7 | 62 | 47 | 15 | 52 |
3 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 54 | 41 | 13 | 52 |
4 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 46 | 34 | 12 | 50 |
5 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 31 | 15 | 5 | 11 | 58 | 53 | 5 | 50 |
6 | Houston DynamoHouston | 31 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 43 | 34 | 9 | 48 |
7 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 50 | 41 | 9 | 47 |
8 | Portland TimbersPortland | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 64 | 54 | 10 | 45 |
9 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 53 | 48 | 5 | 45 |
10 | Dallas | 31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 50 | 52 | -2 | 37 |
11 | Austin FCAustin | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 34 | 44 | -10 | 36 |
12 | St Louis City | 31 | 7 | 13 | 11 | 46 | 58 | -12 | 34 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 32 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 50 | 61 | -11 | 31 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 31 | 5 | 3 | 23 | 37 | 72 | -35 | 18 |