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Sporting Kansas
Major League Soccer
Mar 16, 2025 at 12.15am UK
Children's Mercy Park
Minnesota United

Kansas
3 - 3
Minnesota Utd

Salloi (68'), Duggan (72' og.), Joveljic (80')
Leibold (64')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Dotson (15'), Oluwaseyi (31', 46')
Oluwaseyi (6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Sporting Kansas City and Minnesota United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: DC United 2-1 Kansas
Sunday, March 9 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Sporting Kansas City 1-1 Minnesota United

It has been an underwhelming start to the campaign for Sporting Kansas City and they will head into the weekend looking to stop the rot. While Minnesota appear to have hit their stride, we predict that Vermes's men will make the most of their home advantage and hold out for a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 49.01%. A win for Minnesota United had a probability of 27.34% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.92%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Minnesota United win was 1-2 (6.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Sporting Kansas CityDrawMinnesota United
49.01% (0.073999999999998 0.07) 23.66% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05) 27.34% (-0.022000000000002 -0.02)
Both teams to score 58.35% (0.156 0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.89% (0.213 0.21)43.11% (-0.21 -0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.49% (0.21 0.21)65.51% (-0.20700000000001 -0.21)
Sporting Kansas City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.27% (0.11 0.11)17.73% (-0.108 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.6% (0.188 0.19)48.4% (-0.187 -0.19)
Minnesota United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.92% (0.096000000000004 0.1)29.08% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35% (0.116 0.12)65% (-0.11499999999999 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    Sporting Kansas City 49.01%
    Minnesota United 27.34%
    Draw 23.65%
Sporting Kansas CityDrawMinnesota United
2-1 @ 9.53% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-0 @ 8.92% (-0.051 -0.05)
2-0 @ 7.72% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-1 @ 5.5% (0.022 0.02)
3-0 @ 4.45% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.39% (0.022 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.38% (0.017 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.92% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.47% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 3.74%
Total : 49.01%
1-1 @ 11.01% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.88% (0.017 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.16% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.4% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 23.65%
1-2 @ 6.8% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-1 @ 6.37% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
0-2 @ 3.93% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.8% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.42% (0.014 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.62% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 27.34%

Head to Head
Sep 22, 2024 1.30am
Jun 2, 2024 1.30am
Minnesota Utd
3-1
Kansas
Oluwaseyi (33'), Lod (67'), Arriaga (83')
Padelford (16'), Harvey (25'), Oluwaseyi (64'), Rosales (88')
Russell (86')
Radoja (32')
Apr 28, 2024 1.30am
Oct 22, 2023 2am
Kansas
3-1
Minnesota Utd
Russell (28', 78'), Walter (31')
Davis (85')
Boxall (82')
Trapp (53'), Taylor (66'), Boxall (68')
Sep 17, 2023 1.30am
Minnesota Utd
0-1
Kansas

Taylor (24'), Gregus (84')
Kinda (84')
Fontas (45'), Salloi (90+1'), Kinda (90+5')
rhs 2.0
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