Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 49.01%. A win for Minnesota United had a probability of 27.34% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.92%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Minnesota United win was 1-2 (6.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.