Hereford

3 - 1

Curzon Ashton

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hereford United win with a probability of 52.18%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Curzon Ashton had a probability of 20.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.21%) and 2-1 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.27%), while for a Curzon Ashton win it was 0-1 (8.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hereford United would win this match.