Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kidderminster Harriers win with a probability of 49.23%. A win for Spennymoor Town had a probability of 26.92% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kidderminster Harriers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.28%) and 2-0 (7.93%). The likeliest Spennymoor Town win was 1-2 (6.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kidderminster Harriers would win this match.
