National League South | Gameweek 44
Apr 15, 2023 at 3pm UK
Twerton Park Stadium
Bath City4 - 0Concord Rangers
Wilson (40', 51'), Beckett (44' og.), Hayfield (76')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Coverage of the National League South clash between Bath City and Concord Rangers.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Weymouth 1-0 Bath City
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in National League South
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Concord Rangers 1-0 Hungerford
Thursday, April 13 at 7.45pm in National League South
Thursday, April 13 at 7.45pm in National League South
Goals
for
for
35
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bath City win with a probability of 68%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Concord Rangers had a probability of 13.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bath City win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.94%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.75%), while for a Concord Rangers win it was 0-1 (3.92%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bath City would win this match.
Result | ||
Bath City | Draw | Concord Rangers |
68% ( 0.06) | 18.56% ( -0.04) | 13.43% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 52.24% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.12% ( 0.08) | 39.87% ( -0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.76% ( 0.08) | 62.23% ( -0.09) |
Bath City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.25% ( 0.04) | 10.74% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
65.29% ( 0.08) | 34.71% ( -0.09) |
Concord Rangers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.53% ( 0.01) | 41.47% ( -0.01) |