Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hampton & Richmond win with a probability of 45.45%. A win for Chelmsford City had a probability of 30.5% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hampton & Richmond win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.47%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest Chelmsford City win was 1-2 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.15%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hampton & Richmond would win this match.