Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chippenham Town win with a probability of 43.54%. A win for Chelmsford City had a probability of 31.5% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chippenham Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (7.11%). The likeliest Chelmsford City win was 0-1 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.
