Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 49.09%. A win for Dorking Wanderers had a probability of 27.07% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.22%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Dorking Wanderers win was 1-2 (6.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.15%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.