Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnet win with a probability of 54.45%. A win for Rochdale had a probability of 23.28% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnet win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.75%) and 2-0 (8.34%). The likeliest Rochdale win was 1-2 (6.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barnet would win this match.
Result | ||
Barnet | Draw | Rochdale |
54.45% ( -0.21) | 22.28% ( 0.04) | 23.28% ( 0.16) |
Both teams to score 58.84% ( 0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.48% ( -0.01) | 40.52% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.1% ( -0.01) | 62.9% ( 0.02) |
Barnet Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.14% ( -0.07) | 14.86% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.82% ( -0.14) | 43.18% ( 0.14) |
Rochdale Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.11% ( 0.13) | 30.89% ( -0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.82% ( 0.16) | 67.18% ( -0.15) |
Score Analysis |
Barnet | Draw | Rochdale |
2-1 @ 9.8% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.75% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 8.34% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 6.23% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 5.3% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.66% 4-1 @ 2.97% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.53% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.74% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.13% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 0.96% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.03% Total : 54.45% | 1-1 @ 10.27% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.76% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.59% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.43% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.22% Total : 22.27% | 1-2 @ 6.04% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 5.39% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 3.17% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.36% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.25% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.82% Total : 23.28% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barnet | 12 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 27 |
2 | York City | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 18 | 6 | 12 | 25 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 24 |
4 | Rochdale | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 23 |
5 | Gateshead | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 15 | 7 | 23 |
6 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 23 |
7 | Eastleigh | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 21 |
8 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 19 |
9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 18 |
10 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 20 | 13 | 7 | 17 |
11 | Halifax TownHalifax | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 17 |
12 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 15 |
13 | Woking | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 15 |
14 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 15 |
15 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 14 |
16 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 14 |
17 | Tamworth | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 14 |
18 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 13 |
19 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 11 |
20 | Braintree TownBraintree | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 10 |
21 | Boston UnitedBoston | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 9 |
22 | Fylde | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 9 |
23 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 8 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 25 | -16 | 5 |
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