Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 55.97%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Dagenham & Redbridge had a probability of 21.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 2-0 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.65%), while for a Dagenham & Redbridge win it was 0-1 (5.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Chesterfield | Draw | Dagenham & Redbridge |
55.97% ( 3.02) | 22.61% ( -0.96) | 21.41% ( -2.06) |
Both teams to score 55.14% ( 0.44) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.77% ( 1.89) | 44.23% ( -1.89) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.39% ( 1.81) | 66.6% ( -1.81) |
Chesterfield Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.36% ( 1.74) | 15.63% ( -1.74) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.35% ( 3.14) | 44.64% ( -3.14) |
Dagenham & Redbridge Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.36% ( -0.84) | 34.64% ( 0.84) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.64% ( -0.9) | 71.36% ( 0.9) |
Score Analysis |
Chesterfield | Draw | Dagenham & Redbridge |
1-0 @ 10.04% ( -0.23) 2-1 @ 9.89% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 9.32% ( 0.33) 3-1 @ 6.12% ( 0.42) 3-0 @ 5.77% ( 0.52) 3-2 @ 3.24% ( 0.16) 4-1 @ 2.84% ( 0.35) 4-0 @ 2.68% ( 0.38) 4-2 @ 1.5% ( 0.15) 5-1 @ 1.05% ( 0.18) 5-0 @ 0.99% ( 0.19) Other @ 2.53% Total : 55.97% | 1-1 @ 10.65% ( -0.49) 0-0 @ 5.42% ( -0.46) 2-2 @ 5.24% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.61% | 0-1 @ 5.74% ( -0.63) 1-2 @ 5.65% ( -0.4) 0-2 @ 3.04% ( -0.41) 1-3 @ 2% ( -0.19) 2-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.17) Other @ 2.06% Total : 21.41% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 37 | 14 | 23 | 41 |
2 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 41 |
3 | Barnet | 19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 40 | 23 | 17 | 40 |
4 | Gateshead | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 35 | 24 | 11 | 37 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 34 |
6 | Rochdale | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 30 |
7 | Halifax TownHalifax | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 29 |
8 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 32 | 3 | 28 |
9 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 28 |
10 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 27 |
11 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 25 |
12 | Eastleigh | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 25 |
13 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 25 |
14 | Tamworth | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 25 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 22 |
16 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 22 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 25 | 30 | -5 | 22 |
18 | Woking | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
19 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 19 |
20 | Braintree TownBraintree | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 19 |
21 | Fylde | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 18 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 19 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 21 | 36 | -15 | 16 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 14 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 18 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 43 | -28 | 8 |
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