National League | Gameweek 27

Jan 29, 2022 at 3pm UK

Grimsby Town
2 - 1
Wealdstone

Efete (34', 51')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Mascoll (55')
Mundle-Smith (49'), McAvoy (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's National League clash between Grimsby Town and Wealdstone, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Grimsby Town 1-0 Wealdstone

Despite struggling in recent weeks, we think that Grimsby could claim all three points on Saturday as they look to take advantage of a Wealdstone side that have lost their last four away games in all competitions. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 70.14%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Wealdstone had a probability of 11.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.57%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.72%), while for a Wealdstone win it was 0-1 (3.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Grimsby Town would win this match.

Result
Grimsby Town	Draw	Wealdstone
70.14%	18.34%	11.52%

Both teams to score 46.98%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.27%

43.73%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.88%

66.12%

Grimsby Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.74%

11.26%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.15%

35.85%

Wealdstone Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.95%

47.05%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.47%

82.52%

Score Analysis

Grimsby Town 70.14%

Wealdstone 11.52%

Draw 18.34%

Grimsby Town	Draw	Wealdstone
2-0 @ 12.63% 1-0 @ 11.57% 2-1 @ 9.53% 3-0 @ 9.2% 3-1 @ 6.94% 4-0 @ 5.02% 4-1 @ 3.79% 3-2 @ 2.61% 5-0 @ 2.19% 5-1 @ 1.65% 4-2 @ 1.43% Other @ 3.58% Total : 70.14%	1-1 @ 8.72% 0-0 @ 5.3% 2-2 @ 3.59% Other @ 0.73% Total : 18.34%	0-1 @ 3.99% 1-2 @ 3.29% 0-2 @ 1.51% 2-3 @ 0.9% Other @ 1.83% Total : 11.52%