Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 39.07%. A win for Weymouth had a probability of 35.59% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.56%) and 2-0 (6.32%). The likeliest Weymouth win was 0-1 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Grimsby Town in this match.