Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 51.89%. A win for Solihull Moors had a probability of 24.58% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 2-0 (8.57%). The likeliest Solihull Moors win was 0-1 (6.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Hartlepool United | Draw | Solihull Moors |
51.89% ( 0.11) | 23.53% ( -0.08) | 24.58% ( -0.04) |
Both teams to score 56.09% ( 0.21) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.13% ( 0.3) | 44.87% ( -0.3) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.77% ( 0.29) | 67.23% ( -0.28) |
Hartlepool United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.69% ( 0.16) | 17.31% ( -0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.33% ( 0.27) | 47.66% ( -0.26) |
Solihull Moors Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.83% ( 0.13) | 32.17% ( -0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.35% ( 0.15) | 68.65% ( -0.15) |
Score Analysis |
Hartlepool United | Draw | Solihull Moors |
1-0 @ 9.77% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 9.71% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.57% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 5.68% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 5.01% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.22% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 2.49% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 2.2% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.41% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.83% Total : 51.89% | 1-1 @ 11.07% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 5.57% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.51% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.22% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.53% | 0-1 @ 6.31% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 6.28% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.58% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.38% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.08% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.35% ( -0) Other @ 2.59% Total : 24.58% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 24 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 48 | 20 | 28 | 51 |
2 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 24 | 14 | 8 | 2 | 43 | 20 | 23 | 50 |
3 | Barnet | 25 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 51 | 30 | 21 | 50 |
4 | Gateshead | 25 | 14 | 5 | 6 | 49 | 32 | 17 | 47 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 23 | 12 | 8 | 3 | 41 | 23 | 18 | 44 |
6 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 41 |
7 | Rochdale | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 39 |
8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 24 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 36 |
9 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 31 | 30 | 1 | 36 |
10 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 35 |
11 | Eastleigh | 25 | 8 | 11 | 6 | 35 | 33 | 2 | 35 |
12 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 25 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 31 | 29 | 2 | 35 |
13 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 34 | 33 | 1 | 34 |
14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 29 | 27 | 2 | 33 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 39 | 33 | 6 | 31 |
16 | Tamworth | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 26 | 41 | -15 | 30 |
17 | Woking | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 28 |
18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 25 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 35 | 43 | -8 | 25 |
19 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 23 |
20 | Braintree TownBraintree | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 23 | 36 | -13 | 23 |
21 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 31 | 49 | -18 | 23 |
22 | Fylde | 24 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 29 | 50 | -21 | 22 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 23 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 15 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 25 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 17 | 60 | -43 | 9 |
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