Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 41.21%. A win for Chesterfield had a probability of 31.97% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest Chesterfield win was 0-1 (9.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.
Result | ||
Notts County | Draw | Chesterfield |
41.21% | 26.82% | 31.97% |
Both teams to score 50.73% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.74% | 54.26% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.34% | 75.66% |
Notts County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.06% | 25.94% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.06% | 60.94% |
Chesterfield Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.5% | 31.5% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.11% | 67.89% |
Score Analysis |
Notts County | Draw | Chesterfield |
1-0 @ 11.02% 2-1 @ 8.59% 2-0 @ 7.44% 3-1 @ 3.87% 3-0 @ 3.35% 3-2 @ 2.23% 4-1 @ 1.3% 4-0 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.27% Total : 41.2% | 1-1 @ 12.73% 0-0 @ 8.17% 2-2 @ 4.96% Other @ 0.95% Total : 26.81% | 0-1 @ 9.44% 1-2 @ 7.36% 0-2 @ 5.45% 1-3 @ 2.83% 0-3 @ 2.1% 2-3 @ 1.91% Other @ 2.88% Total : 31.97% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |