Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 66%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Eastleigh had a probability of 14.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.96%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.1%), while for a Eastleigh win it was 0-1 (4.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Notts County in this match.