Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oldham Athletic win with a probability of 48.81%. A win for Wealdstone had a probability of 26.91% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oldham Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.51%) and 2-0 (8.13%). The likeliest Wealdstone win was 0-1 (6.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oldham Athletic would win this match.