Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 43.28%. A win for Oxford City had a probability of 31.52% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.02%) and 0-2 (7.19%). The likeliest Oxford City win was 1-0 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that York City would win this match.
Result | ||
Oxford City | Draw | York City |
31.52% (![]() | 25.2% (![]() | 43.28% (![]() |
Both teams to score 55.77% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.32% (![]() | 47.68% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.12% (![]() | 69.88% (![]() |
Oxford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.5% (![]() | 28.5% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.73% (![]() | 64.28% (![]() |
York City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78% (![]() | 22% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.69% (![]() | 55.31% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Oxford City | Draw | York City |
1-0 @ 7.87% (![]() 2-1 @ 7.48% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 4.94% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.13% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.37% 3-0 @ 2.07% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 0.98% ( ![]() Other @ 2.68% Total : 31.52% | 1-1 @ 11.91% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.27% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.66% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.2% ( ![]() Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.19% | 0-1 @ 9.49% (![]() 1-2 @ 9.02% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 7.19% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.55% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 3.63% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.86% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.72% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.37% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.08% ( ![]() Other @ 2.36% Total : 43.28% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barnet | 40 | 28 | 7 | 5 | 84 | 33 | 51 | 91 |
2 | York City | 40 | 24 | 8 | 8 | 77 | 37 | 40 | 80 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 40 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 60 | 35 | 25 | 75 |
4 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 40 | 17 | 15 | 8 | 57 | 41 | 16 | 66 |
5 | Halifax TownHalifax | 40 | 17 | 12 | 11 | 46 | 37 | 9 | 63 |
6 | Rochdale | 39 | 17 | 10 | 12 | 57 | 39 | 18 | 61 |
7 | Gateshead | 40 | 17 | 9 | 14 | 67 | 57 | 10 | 60 |
8 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 40 | 15 | 14 | 11 | 51 | 46 | 5 | 59 |
9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 40 | 15 | 12 | 13 | 60 | 51 | 9 | 57 |
10 | Tamworth | 40 | 15 | 12 | 13 | 54 | 58 | -4 | 57 |
11 | Eastleigh | 40 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 53 | 51 | 2 | 53 |
12 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 40 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 63 | 65 | -2 | 53 |
13 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 40 | 12 | 16 | 12 | 49 | 49 | 0 | 52 |
14 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 40 | 14 | 10 | 16 | 45 | 51 | -6 | 52 |
15 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 39 | 13 | 12 | 14 | 51 | 53 | -2 | 51 |
16 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 40 | 13 | 9 | 18 | 54 | 60 | -6 | 48 |
17 | Braintree TownBraintree | 40 | 13 | 9 | 18 | 45 | 53 | -8 | 48 |
18 | Woking | 40 | 10 | 16 | 14 | 41 | 53 | -12 | 46 |
19 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 40 | 11 | 12 | 17 | 49 | 67 | -18 | 45 |
20 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 40 | 10 | 13 | 17 | 51 | 57 | -6 | 43 |
21 | Boston UnitedBoston | 40 | 11 | 10 | 19 | 45 | 59 | -14 | 43 |
22 | Fylde | 40 | 11 | 6 | 23 | 46 | 73 | -27 | 39 |
23 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 40 | 10 | 8 | 22 | 44 | 71 | -27 | 38 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 40 | 2 | 13 | 25 | 32 | 85 | -53 | 19 |
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