Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 43.28%. A win for Oxford City had a probability of 31.52% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.02%) and 0-2 (7.19%). The likeliest Oxford City win was 1-0 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that York City would win this match.