Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 44.93%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 30.94% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.46%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 1-2 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.19%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rochdale would win this match.