Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 46.72%. A win for Oldham Athletic had a probability of 27.46% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (8.47%). The likeliest Oldham Athletic win was 0-1 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Southend United in this match.