Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 40.13%. A win for Oldham Athletic had a probability of 34.17% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.65%) and 0-2 (6.71%). The likeliest Oldham Athletic win was 1-0 (8.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Oldham Athletic | Draw | Southend United |
34.17% ( -0.09) | 25.7% ( -0) | 40.13% ( 0.09) |
Both teams to score 54.94% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.86% ( -0.01) | 49.13% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.79% ( -0) | 71.2% ( 0.01) |
Oldham Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.47% ( -0.06) | 27.53% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.96% ( -0.07) | 63.04% ( 0.07) |
Southend United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.81% ( 0.04) | 24.19% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.49% ( 0.06) | 58.51% ( -0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Oldham Athletic | Draw | Southend United |
1-0 @ 8.59% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.86% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.54% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.38% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.4% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.38% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.09% ( -0) Other @ 2.93% Total : 34.17% | 1-1 @ 12.19% 0-0 @ 6.66% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.58% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.7% | 0-1 @ 9.45% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.65% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.71% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 4.09% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 3.17% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.64% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.45% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.13% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 0.94% ( 0) Other @ 1.89% Total : 40.13% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 23 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 47 | 20 | 27 | 48 |
2 | Barnet | 23 | 15 | 3 | 5 | 47 | 26 | 21 | 48 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 22 | 13 | 7 | 2 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 46 |
4 | Gateshead | 23 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 45 | 28 | 17 | 44 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 21 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 38 | 19 | 19 | 43 |
6 | Rochdale | 21 | 11 | 3 | 7 | 31 | 19 | 12 | 36 |
7 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 42 | 36 | 6 | 35 |
8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 23 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 35 |
9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 34 |
10 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 34 |
11 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 23 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 33 |
12 | Eastleigh | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 32 |
13 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 32 |
14 | Tamworth | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 29 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 35 | 29 | 6 | 28 |
16 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 23 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 27 |
17 | Woking | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 24 |
18 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 27 | 32 | -5 | 23 |
19 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 23 |
20 | Fylde | 23 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 28 | 47 | -19 | 22 |
21 | Braintree TownBraintree | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 20 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 27 | 45 | -18 | 20 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 37 | -18 | 15 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 23 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 17 | 54 | -37 | 9 |
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