FA Cup | First Round
Nov 6, 2022 at 3pm UK
Plainmoor Ground
Torquay Utd2 - 2Derby
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Torquay Utd 6-1 Aldershot
Tuesday, November 1 at 7.45pm in National League
Tuesday, November 1 at 7.45pm in National League
Goals
for
for
19
Last Game: Morecambe 1-1 Derby
Tuesday, November 1 at 7.45pm in League One
Tuesday, November 1 at 7.45pm in League One
We said: Torquay United 1-4 Derby County
While Derby have generally been poor in front of goal this season, that could change on Sunday. There will be times when Torquay will rally and play without pressure, but the Rams should ease to victory on the South coast. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 61.7%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Torquay United had a probability of 17.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.81%) and 0-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.61%), while for a Torquay United win it was 2-1 (4.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Torquay United | Draw | Derby County |
17.72% ( 1.16) | 20.58% ( 0.65) | 61.7% ( -1.8) |
| Both teams to score 55.66% ( 0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.51% ( -0.9) | 40.49% ( 0.9) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.13% ( -0.93) | 62.87% ( 0.94) |
| Torquay United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.7% ( 0.8) | 36.3% ( -0.8) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 26.91% ( 0.8) | 73.08% ( -0.8) |
| Derby County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.37% ( -0.78) | 12.63% ( 0.78) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 61.24% ( -1.63) | 38.76% ( 1.63) |
| Score Analysis |
Torquay United 17.72%
Derby County 61.7%
Draw 20.58%
| Torquay United | Draw | Derby County |
| 2-1 @ 4.87% ( 0.26) 1-0 @ 4.65% ( 0.29)2-0 @ 2.35% ( 0.19)3-2 @ 1.7% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 1.65% ( 0.12)Other @ 2.51% Total : 17.72% | 1-1 @ 9.61% ( 0.32) 2-2 @ 5.04% ( 0.12)0-0 @ 4.58% ( 0.19)3-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.17% Total : 20.58% | 1-2 @ 9.95% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 9.81% ( -0.19)0-1 @ 9.48% ( 0.11)1-3 @ 6.86% ( -0.19)0-3 @ 6.77% ( -0.34)1-4 @ 3.55% ( -0.21)0-4 @ 3.5% ( -0.29)2-3 @ 3.48% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.8% ( -0.07)1-5 @ 1.47% ( -0.14)0-5 @ 1.45% ( -0.17)Other @ 3.59% Total : 61.7% |
How you voted: Torquay Utd vs Derby
Torquay United
25.9%Draw
3.7%Derby County
70.4%27
Form Guide
