Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Halifax Town win with a probability of 37.72%. A win for Weymouth had a probability of 36.42% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Halifax Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.35%) and 0-2 (6.27%). The likeliest Weymouth win was 1-0 (9.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Halifax Town would win this match.