Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 45.9%. A win for Eastleigh had a probability of 28.38% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (8.17%). The likeliest Eastleigh win was 0-1 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.