National League | Gameweek 29

Mar 5, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Lner Community Stadium

York City
1 - 3
Fylde

Smith (14')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Westley (4'), Hunter (62'), Ustabasi (73')
Barrett (64')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the National League clash between York City and Fylde.

Form, Standings, Stats

York City

All competitions

Last Game: York City 2-3 Wealdstone
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Fylde

All competitions

Last Game: Fylde 4-1 Maidenhead
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 39.53%. A win for Fylde had a probability of 35.3% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (6.34%). The likeliest Fylde win was 0-1 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.

Result
York City	Draw	Fylde
39.53% ( 0.48)	25.18% ( 0.04)	35.3% ( -0.52)

Both teams to score 56.96% (

-0.21)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.38% (

-0.25)

46.61% (

0.24)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.11% (

-0.23)

68.88% (

0.23)

York City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.63% (

0.14)

23.37% (

-0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.66% (

0.2)

57.34% (

-0.2)

Fylde Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.34% (

-0.41)

25.66% (

0.41)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.43% (

-0.57)

60.57% (

0.56)

Score Analysis

York City 39.53%

Fylde 35.3%

Draw 25.17%

York City	Draw	Fylde
1-0 @ 8.72% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 8.62% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 6.34% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 4.18% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 3.07% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 2.84% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.52% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.12% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.03% ( 0) Other @ 2.1% Total : 39.53%	1-1 @ 11.85% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.86% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.17%	0-1 @ 8.16% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.07% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 5.55% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 3.66% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 2.66% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 2.52% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 1.24% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 0.9% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.55% Total : 35.3%