Form, Standings, Stats
Nations League
Last Game: Armenia 4-1 Latvia
Saturday, September 7 at 5pm in Nations League
Saturday, September 7 at 5pm in Nations League
Nations League
Last Game: Faroe Islands 1-1 N. Macedonia
Saturday, September 7 at 2pm in Nations League
Saturday, September 7 at 2pm in Nations League
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Albania | 8 | 8 | 15 |
| 2 | Czech Republic | 8 | 6 | 15 |
| 3 | Poland | 8 | 0 | 11 |
| 4 | Moldova | 8 | -3 | 10 |
| 5 | Faroe Islands | 8 | -11 | 2 |
We said: Latvia 1-0 Faroe Islands
While the Faroe Islands only lost their advantage on Saturday due to a cheap penalty, they were under the cosh for large periods and could have easily been put to the sword on another day. Facing a hostile atmosphere in Riga, we cannot picture the visitors avenging their Baltic Cup loss to Latvia, who may very well come up trumps by just the one goal once more. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Latvia win with a probability of 36.93%. A win for Faroe Islands had a probability of 33.24% and a draw had a probability of 29.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Latvia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.36%) and 2-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Faroe Islands win was 0-1 (12.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Latvia in this match.
| Result | ||
| Latvia | Draw | Faroe Islands |
36.93% ( -0.25) | 29.83% ( -0.05) | 33.24% ( 0.3) |
| Both teams to score 42.47% ( 0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
