MX23RW : Tuesday, October 1 06:14:11| >> :60:3310:3310:
Latvia national football team
Baltic Cup | Semi-Finals
Jun 8, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stadions Daugava
Lithuania national football team

Latvia
0 - 2
Lithuania


Dubra (80'), Zelenkovs (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Kucys (49'), Dolznikov (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Baltic Cup clash between Latvia and Lithuania, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Latvia

All competitions
Last Game: Latvia 1-1 Liechtenstein
Tuesday, March 26 at 5pm in International Friendlies
Current Group D Standings P GD PTS
1Turkey8717
2Croatia8916
3Wales8012
4Armenia8-28
5Latvia8-143

Lithuania

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Lithuania 1-0 Gibraltar
Tuesday, March 26 at 5pm in Nations League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

We said: Latvia 2-1 Lithuania

 Latvia boast an impressive record over Saturday's visitors in recent years, and while they certainly face a tough test with a place in the Baltic Cup on the line, we see them having the superior quality throughout their squad and back them to extend the unbeaten streak over Lithuania and move within one game of bringing the trophy back to Riga. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lithuania win with a probability of 45.5%. A win for Latvia had a probability of 28.68% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lithuania win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.13%) and 0-2 (8.11%). The likeliest Latvia win was 1-0 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lithuania would win this match.

Result
LatviaDrawLithuania
28.68% (-4.823 -4.82) 25.81% (-0.477 -0.48) 45.5% (5.302 5.3)
Both teams to score 52.27% (-0.577 -0.58)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.45% (0.213 0.21)51.55% (-0.213 -0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.66% (0.186 0.19)73.34% (-0.185 -0.19)
Latvia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.54% (-3.234 -3.23)32.46% (3.235 3.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.02% (-3.805 -3.81)68.98% (3.807 3.81)
Lithuania Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.39% (2.722 2.72)22.61% (-2.721 -2.72)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.77% (3.887 3.89)56.23% (-3.885 -3.89)
Score Analysis
    Latvia 28.68%
    Lithuania 45.5%
    Draw 25.81%
LatviaDrawLithuania
1-0 @ 8.26% (-0.848 -0.85)
2-1 @ 6.91% (-0.784 -0.78)
2-0 @ 4.65% (-0.955 -0.96)
3-1 @ 2.59% (-0.564 -0.56)
3-2 @ 1.93% (-0.239 -0.24)
3-0 @ 1.74% (-0.555 -0.56)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 28.68%
1-1 @ 12.27% (-0.23 -0.23)
0-0 @ 7.34% (-0.063 -0.06)
2-2 @ 5.14% (-0.146 -0.15)
3-3 @ 0.95% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.81%
0-1 @ 10.91% (0.75 0.75)
1-2 @ 9.13% (0.541 0.54)
0-2 @ 8.11% (1.133 1.13)
1-3 @ 4.52% (0.593 0.59)
0-3 @ 4.02% (0.825 0.83)
2-3 @ 2.55% (0.128 0.13)
1-4 @ 1.68% (0.332 0.33)
0-4 @ 1.49% (0.397 0.4)
2-4 @ 0.95% (0.116 0.12)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 45.5%

How you voted: Latvia vs Lithuania

Latvia
72.0%
Draw
8.0%
Lithuania
20.0%
25
Head to Head
Jun 4, 2021 5pm
Group Stage
Latvia
3-1
Lithuania
Beneta (37' og.), Emsis (69'), Uldrikis (85')
Cigaņiks (49')
Golubickas (67')
rhs 2.0
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