Nations League | League A
Oct 12, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stadion Maksimir
Croatia2 - 1Scotland
The Match
Match Report
Sports Mole looks at the highlights, man of the match, and stats from Saturday's Nations League clash between Croatia and Scotland.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Nations League clash between Croatia and Scotland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Croatia 1-0 Poland
Sunday, September 8 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Sunday, September 8 at 7.45pm in Nations League
| Current League A1 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Portugal | 2 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Poland | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Croatia | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Scotland | 2 | -2 | 0 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Croatia win with a probability of 70.61%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Scotland had a probability of 11.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Croatia win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.12%) and 3-0 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.71%), while for a Scotland win it was 0-1 (4.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Croatia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Croatia | Draw | Scotland |
70.61% ( 0.61) | 18.35% ( -0.14) | 11.04% ( -0.47) |
| Both teams to score 45.37% ( -1.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
