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UEFA Nations League header

UEFA Nations League
Spain national football team
Nations League | Quarter-Finals | 2nd Leg
Mar 22, 2025 at 11pm UK
Estadio de Mestalla
Netherlands national football team

Spain
vs.
Netherlands

Coverage of the Nations League Quarter-Finals clash between Spain and Netherlands.

Form, Standings, Stats

Spain

All competitions
Last Game: Spain 3-2 Switzerland
Monday, November 18 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Next Game: Netherlands vs. Spain
Wednesday, March 19 at 11pm in Nations League

Netherlands

All competitions
Last Game: Bosnia H'vina 1-1 Netherlands
Tuesday, November 19 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Next Game: Netherlands vs. Spain
Wednesday, March 19 at 11pm in Nations League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Spain win with a probability of 52.8%. A win for Netherlands has a probability of 24.35% and a draw has a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spain win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9.03%) and 2-0 (8.29%). The likeliest Netherlands win is 1-2 (6.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.62%).

Result
SpainDrawNetherlands
52.8%22.85%24.35%
Both teams to score 58.14%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.96%42.04%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.56%64.44%
Spain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.05%15.95%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.77%45.22%
Netherlands Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.17%30.83%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.89%67.11%
Score Analysis
    Spain 52.8%
    Netherlands 24.35%
    Draw 22.85%
SpainDrawNetherlands
2-1 @ 9.75%
1-0 @ 9.03%
2-0 @ 8.29%
3-1 @ 5.97%
3-0 @ 5.07%
3-2 @ 3.51%
4-1 @ 2.74%
4-0 @ 2.33%
4-2 @ 1.61%
5-1 @ 1.01%
Other @ 3.51%
Total : 52.8%
1-1 @ 10.62%
2-2 @ 5.74%
0-0 @ 4.92%
3-3 @ 1.38%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 22.85%
1-2 @ 6.25%
0-1 @ 5.79%
0-2 @ 3.4%
1-3 @ 2.45%
2-3 @ 2.25%
0-3 @ 1.34%
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 24.35%

Head to Head
Mar 19, 2025
11pm
Quarter-Finals 1st Leg
Netherlands  
N
vs.
S
   Spain
Nov 11, 2020 7.45pm
Friendlies 1
Netherlands
1-1
Spain
Van de Beek (47')
van de Beek (89')
Canales (18')
Reguilon (49'), Olmo (84')
> Preview
Mar 29, 2020 6pm
International Friendlies
Netherlands
P-P
Spain
Mar 31, 2015 7.45pm
International Friendlies
Netherlands
2-0
Spain
> Match Report
Jun 13, 2014 8pm
Group Stage
Spain
1-5
Netherlands
Alonso (27' pen.)
Casillas (65')
Van Persie (44', 72'), Robben (53', 80'), De Vrij (64')
de Guzman (25'), de Vrij (41'), van Persie (66')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
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12Brentford28115124844438
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14Manchester UnitedMan Utd2897123440-634
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17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2865173857-1923
18Ipswich TownIpswich2838172658-3217
19Leicester CityLeicester2845192562-3717
20Southampton2823232068-489
> Premier League Full Table


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