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Attendance: 30,096
Southampton logo
Premier League | Gameweek 29
Mar 7, 2020 at 3pm UK
 
Newcastle logo

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FT(HT: 0-0)

Preview: Southampton vs. Newcastle United - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole provides team news, predicted lineups and a full preview of Saturday's Premier League fixture between Southampton and Newcastle United.

Southampton and Newcastle United meet in the Premier League on Saturday afternoon with just two points separating the clubs in the standings.

While the Saints have lost three out of their last four outings, the Magpies are without a top-flight victory in five attempts.


Match preview

Newcastle boss Steve Bruce on February 1, 2020© Reuters

After witnessing his team go four games without scoring in the Premier League, Steve Bruce would have been relieved to see vast improvements made during the 3-2 victory over West Bromwich Albion in the FA Cup.

Nevertheless, as Bruce acknowledged after Tuesday's game, the Magpies have a habit of making things difficult for themselves, regardless of the competition.

While they can now look forward to a date with Manchester City in the quarter-finals, Bruce knows that they must regain their clinical touch in the top flight in order to avoid any kind of a relegation battle.

Newcastle still hold a five-point cushion ahead of the drop zone, although that will soon change if they fail to collect many points from their next five matches, four of which come against potential relegation rivals.

Although Miguel Almiron took his tally in the FA Cup to four against the Baggies, the playmaker is under pressure to contribute more in the Premier League with just two goals and one assist to his name.

Like Saturday's opponents, Southampton also have a number of crucial encounters against closely-matched teams on the horizon, putting them under equal pressure to get more points on the board.

Ralph Hasenhuttl was not shy in criticising his players after last weekend's 3-1 defeat at West Ham United, a setback which has breathed new life into the Hammers' season.

The same kind of result will do the same for Newcastle, and it would pull the Saints into closer proximity to the pack of teams who are scraping below them.

Although Hasenhuttl's team should have enough quality to remain at English football's top tier, they require another three points as soon as possible to ease the tension at St Mary's.

Southampton Premier League form: LWLLWL
Southampton form (all competitions): DLLLWL

Newcastle United Premier League form: WDDLLD
Newcastle United form (all competitions): DWLLDW


Team News

James Ward-Prowse equalises for Southampton on January 30, 2019© Reuters

Despite spending time at right-back in recent weeks, James Ward-Prowse is expected to return to central midfield for this contest.

That would allow either Kyle Walker-Peters or Yan Valery to come back into the side after time on the sidelines and substitutes' bench.

Michael Obafemi and Shane Long are competing for one place alongside Danny Ings, who is expected back in the first XI.

After the win at West Brom, Bruce must decide whether to make sweeping changes to a team which impressed against the Championship leaders.

Isaac Hayden could get the nod over Sean Longstaff in midfield, while Valentino Lazaro will hope to continue in a right-midfield role.

Either Federico Fernandez or Fabian Schar will partner Jamaal Lascelles in the middle of the backline.

Southampton possible starting lineup:
McCarthy; Walker-Peters, Stephens, Bednarek, Bertrand; Armstrong, Ward-Prowse, Hojbjerg, Djenepo, Ings, Long

Newcastle United possible starting lineup:
Dubravka; Manquillo, Lascelles, Fernandez, Rose; Hayden, Bentaleb; Lazaro, Almiron, Saint-Maximin; Joelinton


Sports Mole Logo

We say: Southampton 2-1 Newcastle United

Although Newcastle will have more belief after their display in midweek, Southampton are well rested for an important game in their season. We feel that, and Newcastle's second trip South in the space of a few days, could prove crucial at St Mary's.



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a win with a probability of 49.15%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for had a probability of 25.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.24%), while for a win it was 0-1 (8.07%).


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Newcastle United defender Ciaran Clark pictured in November 2019
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7Tottenham HotspurSpurs1051422111116
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11Newcastle UnitedNewcastle104331010015
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14West Ham UnitedWest Ham103251319-611
15Leicester CityLeicester102441418-410
16Everton102351017-79
17Crystal Palace10145813-57
18Ipswich TownIpswich100551021-115
19Southampton10118719-124
20Wolverhampton WanderersWolves100371427-133


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