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Nice
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 37
May 14, 2022 at 8pm UK
Stade Municipal du Ray
Lille

Nice
1 - 3
Lille

Kluivert (31')
Lotomba (45'), Kluivert (90+1'), Galtier (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)
David (52', 61'), Weah (90+4')
Gudmundsson (12'), Gomes (66'), Weah (90+3')

Preview: Nice vs. Lille - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Nice and Lille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Nice will welcome Lille to Allianz Riviera on Saturday evening knowing that a victory could keep them in contention for second position in the Ligue 1 table.

The home side are currently fourth, two points behind third-placed Monaco and five from second-placed Marseille, while Lille sit down in 10th and have little to play for in their final two matches.


Match preview

Nice's Andy Delort celebrates scoring their first goal with teammates on March 5, 2022© Reuters

Nice were beaten 1-0 by Nantes in the Coupe de France final on May 7, and it did appear that they would suffer a hangover on Wednesday at home to Saint-Etienne in Ligue 1.

Indeed, the visitors led 2-0 at the interval of the contest at Allianz Riviera, but Christophe Galtier's side responded in impressive fashion, netting four unanswered goals in the second half to record a 4-2 victory, which moved them into fourth position in the table on 63 points.

As it stands, Nice are in a Europa League position, but they are only two points behind third-placed Monaco and five from second-placed Marseille, so securing qualification for the Champions League is still a possibility, depending on other results on Saturday.

Les Aiglons have now won their last three league matches against Troyes, Bordeaux and Saint-Etienne, but they are just three points ahead of sixth-placed Strasbourg, meaning that two poor results against Lille and Reims could see them drop out of the European spots.

Galtier's team have been strong in front of their own supporters this season, picking up 34 points from 18 matches, and they will be welcoming a Lille outfit with the seventh-best away record in Ligue 1 this term.

Lille's Jonathan David during the warm up before the match on January 22, 2022© Reuters

Champions last season, there is no getting away from the fact that it has been a tough campaign for Lille, who find themselves down in 10th position in the table heading into the final straight.

Les Dogues have won 13, drawn 12 and lost 11 of their 36 league games this season to collect 51 points, and they are three points behind ninth-placed Nantes and three ahead of 11th-placed Brest, so it would not be a surprise to see them finish where they currently are.

Lille have only actually won once in the league since the middle of March, losing four of their last five during a disappointing run, including their last two against Troyes and Monaco.

There is not too much to play for other than pride in the closing stages of the campaign, but the players will be keen to give their supporters something to cheer at the end of a difficult season.

Jocelyn Gourvennec's side have won six, drawn five and lost seven of their 18 away league games this term, while they suffered a 4-0 defeat to Nice in the reverse match between the two sides earlier this season.

Nice Ligue 1 form:
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • W

Nice form (all competitions):
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • W

Lille Ligue 1 form:
  • D
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • L


Team News

Lille's Burak Yilmaz celebrates scoring their first goal on March 16, 2022© Reuters

Nice will again be missing Youcef Atal and Alexis Claude-Maurice through injury, but the home side are otherwise in excellent shape heading into Saturday's contest.

Hicham Boudaoui scored off the bench against Saint-Etienne, but Galtier could decide to select the same XI that took to the field for the first whistle last time out.

Andy Delort continued his impressive form with a brace on Wednesday, and the 30-year-old should again be joined in the final third of the field by Amine Gouiri, who is currently on a 14-game goal drought.

As for Lille, Sven Botman and Benjamin Andre will both be suspended on Saturday, while Xeka is out of the contest through injury.

Renato Sanches and Burak Yilmaz are both available once again following bans, though, and the pair should be back in the starting XI for the team's penultimate match of the campaign.

Jonathan David was substituted early in the second half against Monaco but should feature in the final third, while Botman's position at the back is expected to be taken by Domagoj Bradaric.

Nice possible starting lineup:
Benitez; Daniliuc, Todibo, Dante, Bard; Kluivert, Rosario, Lemina, Brahimi; Gouiri, Delort

Lille possible starting lineup:
Jardim; Celik, Fonte, Bradaric, Djalo; Bamba, Sanches, Onana, Gudmundsson; David, Yilmaz


SM words green background

We say: Nice 2-1 Lille

This has all of the makings of a very interesting game of football, and Lille are more than capable of winning on Saturday despite their struggles this season. Nice are on a strong run in the league, though, and we are expecting the home team to put another huge three points on the board.



Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 44.57%. A win for Lille had a probability of 29.73% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (7.79%). The likeliest Lille win was 0-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 2.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 2.5:data



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Game History

How you voted: Nice vs Lille

Nice
87.8%
Draw
7.3%
Lille
4.9%
41
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG108202982126
2Marseille1062223121120
3MonacoMonaco10622157820
4Lille10532169718
5Nice104421991016
6Lyon104331715215
7Lens1035297214
8Reims104241615114
9StrasbourgStrasbourg103431919013
10Auxerre104151718-113
11Brest104151316-313
12Toulouse103341111012
13Rennes103251316-311
14NantesNantes102441214-210
15Angers102441116-510
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne103161024-1410
17Le HavreLe Havre10307820-129
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier10118830-224


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