NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 4
Apr 20, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Showgrounds
Ballymena4 - 0Newry City AFC
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Ballymena United and Newry City AFC.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Ballymena 1-0 Glenavon
Tuesday, April 16 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Tuesday, April 16 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Goals
for
for
25
Last Game: Newry City AFC 1-3 Carrick
Tuesday, April 16 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Tuesday, April 16 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Goals
for
for
25
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ballymena United win with a probability of 56.94%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Newry City AFC had a probability of 20.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ballymena United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.91%) and 2-0 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.5%), while for a Newry City AFC win it was 0-1 (5.57%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ballymena United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ballymena United | Draw | Newry City AFC |
56.94% ( 0.04) | 22.31% ( -0.01) | 20.75% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 55.14% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
