Carrick1 - 0Dungannon
Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, April 30 at 5.30pm in NIFL Premiership
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
9 | Dungannon Swifts | 38 | -40 | 35 |
10 | Carrick Rangers | 38 | -26 | 34 |
11 | Portadown | 38 | -43 | 25 |
Saturday, April 30 at 5.30pm in NIFL Premiership
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
8 | Coleraine | 38 | 10 | 51 |
9 | Dungannon Swifts | 38 | -40 | 35 |
10 | Carrick Rangers | 38 | -26 | 34 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carrick Rangers win with a probability of 46.66%. A win for Dungannon Swifts had a probability of 28.77% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carrick Rangers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.35%) and 2-0 (7.69%). The likeliest Dungannon Swifts win was 0-1 (7.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Carrick Rangers in this match.
Result | ||
Carrick Rangers | Draw | Dungannon Swifts |
46.66% | 24.56% | 28.77% |
Both teams to score 56.35% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.78% | 46.22% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.48% | 68.51% |
Carrick Rangers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.1% | 19.9% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.97% | 52.02% |
Dungannon Swifts Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.35% | 29.64% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.31% | 65.69% |
Score Analysis |
Carrick Rangers | Draw | Dungannon Swifts |
1-0 @ 9.52% 2-1 @ 9.35% 2-0 @ 7.69% 3-1 @ 5.03% 3-0 @ 4.14% 3-2 @ 3.06% 4-1 @ 2.03% 4-0 @ 1.67% 4-2 @ 1.24% Other @ 2.93% Total : 46.66% | 1-1 @ 11.57% 0-0 @ 5.9% 2-2 @ 5.68% 3-3 @ 1.24% Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.56% | 0-1 @ 7.17% 1-2 @ 7.04% 0-2 @ 4.36% 1-3 @ 2.85% 2-3 @ 2.3% 0-3 @ 1.77% Other @ 3.28% Total : 28.77% |
Breen (45+1'), McGee (62')
Carson (26'), Cherry (54'), Ervin (73')
Cushley (9'), Anderson (19'), Surgenor (89'), Ervin (90')
Glynn (81'), Coyle (90')
(24'), McGinty (24'), Campbell (39')
Ervin (26'), Gawne (64'), Forsythe (90+3')
D (57')