Linfield

4 - 3

Dungannon

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Linfield win with a probability of 82.48%. A draw had a probability of 11.5% and a win for Dungannon Swifts had a probability of 6.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Linfield win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.02%) and 4-0 (8.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.37%), while for a Dungannon Swifts win it was 1-2 (1.9%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Linfield would win this match.